Category Archives: Exit Polls

By the exit polling numbers..

From TPM Election Central via CBS:

* Seventeen percent in Indiana and 14% in North Carolina decided in last three days.

* The economy is the major driving issue, with 65% In Indiana saying it was the most important issue, and 60% saying the same in North Carolina. Unsurprisingly, Hillary won among these voters in Indiana, and Obama won among them in NC.

* Voters in both states pretty much split evenly on the question of whether Wright was important in their vote.

* More voters blamed Hillary for negative campaigning — 63% of Indiana voters and 67 % of North Carolina voters thought Clinton attacked Obama unfairly. Only 43 % in Indiana and 40% in North Carolina thought the reverse.

Meanwhile, Marc Ambinder looks at some more numbers and concludes that “the polarization within the Democratic Party has reached critical levels.”

We’ll be blogging the results tonight right here. All the polls in Indiana will be closed by 7 P.M., and in North Carolina they’ll be closed by 7:30.

Late Update: A detailed breakdown of the numbers showing Dem polarization is here.

This ain’t good.

Tim Russert is hungup on White dude? He keeps bringing up how the white women voted.

The spin goes on..

Listening to the Talking Heads on MSNBC last night, I was struck by how they sanitize the results by breaking them down into race and gender:

Per the exit polls, 47% of the Pennsylvania Democratic electorate last night was made up of white women, higher than any other race/gender subgroup. Clinton ended up winning them by more than 30 points, 66%-34%; in Ohio, she won this group, 67%-31%. The question that everyone seems to be asking now is: Why can’t Obama put Clinton away?

So, now…instead of Hillary being DOA, its ‘why can’t Obama deliver the knock-out punch’?

I find myself getting wrapped up in this bullshit, drawn into wondering aloud about Obama too when hits me.

Every state hasn’t weighed in yet. Fuck the pundits. It’s all spin. Just like Hillary claiming she is now ahead in the popular vote..if you count FL and MI.

But you can’t count the votes from FL and MI because the only person on both ballots was good old Hillary. The Obama camp is putting the following spin out there to counter Team Hillary’s email this morning:

— Obama leads among pledged delegates, and Clinton will have to win about 70% of the remaining ones to overtake Obama on this measure. — to get within 100 pledged delegates of Obama, Clinton will have to win 57% of the remaining ones — and when looking at the total delegate score (pledged delegates and superdelegates), Obama is about 300 away from clinching the nomination; Clinton, according to NBC’s count, is more than 430 delegates away.

Damn, I am mighty tired of everyone’s spin..its making me dizzy.